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26th January 2019 at 10:46 pm #43299
Hi biohazard,
Whilst the math is correct that a bouns would occur within 16000 spins, you have to factor in they would have to be consecutive.
Although it can’t be seen there is most probably a game counter running continuously which if you could see it, you would see that between games it may jump 100s or even 1000s between your spins due to other players spinning at the same time.
I think that’s a thought most people wouldn’t want. If that was the case and everybody believed that was true, where it was possible everybody would quick spin every game in fear of someone else getting the bonus on the same game. That would make people pretty paranoid. Just an opinion though.
26th January 2019 at 11:46 pm #43308Yeah i get what your saying but surely it is more unpleaseant to think the game has singled you out for a 16000 spin f#@$ing, you know?
The way I see it is, you press play and it generates a code the sever checks to see if it is a winner (bouns).
The math stands that if only you are playing you would win a bouns within 16000 spins, however your odds remain 1 in 450 every spin.
here’s the math,
1 in 450 = 0.00222222
1-0.222222= 0.99777778 = 99.78% chance you won’t get the bouns in one spin.
0.997777778^16000 = 3.47724909×10^-16 or
1 in 287 583 654 000 000 you wont get the bouns in 16000 spins.
to put that in perspective if each spin took 1 second that number represents 91 million years.
the only way it could work is if it takes everyone’s spins into account, then it would be like the roulette analogy,
odds of it hitting black are 48% longest recorded streak 37 hits against however if you radonmly selected when to place the bet you could easily go more than 37 or 50 or 100 spins without hitting as the odds remain fixed at 48% and probability is removed as your betting is random.
hope that makes sense
27th January 2019 at 1:49 am #43322odds of it hitting black are 48% longest recorded streak 37 hits against however if you radonmly selected when to place the bet you could easily go more than 37 or 50 or 100 spins without hitting as the odds remain fixed at 48% and probability is removed as your betting is random.
On roulette, surely it wouldn’t matter if you were switching between red and black or sometimes switching randomly and sometimes holding the same colour bet several spins in a row. If you bet on one colour then on any and every spin, the odds of you losing are 52%, so the chances of you going even six consecutive spins without winning are just 1%. That’s just as true if you bet black, red, red, black, red, black as it is if you bet red six times in a row. It’s like the lottery; 1, 2, 3, 4 5 and 6 is just as likely a winning draw as 18, 26, 27, 32, 38 and 41. It’s just the latter seems more intuitively likely as a pick.
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