Question about percentages

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  • #59619
    argyl53 WANTED $419
    Outlaw

    If there are four possible answers and one of them is fixed as the correct answer, it’s as straightforward as picking one of the four answers at random carries a 25% chance that you picked the right one. However I suspect you’re trying to make some point we’ve covered to death already regarding random and RTP and will therefore misinterpret probability theory in some way which relies on the correct answer itself being random, with an uneven probability distribution.

    Happy to explain the mathematics of probability in relation to slots for you for the 32nd time if you like, Mr B 🙂 not sure what the chances are you’d get it this time though!

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    #59620
    Slev82 WANTED $23
    Outlaw

    33.333333 and so on, the question wasnt about the alternatives, it was how high chances you got to get it right

    #59621
    argyl53 WANTED $419
    Outlaw

    Obviously also in your particular example, you have two choices which are both the same answer which is where people are getting the 50% from, though in terms of probability that would give you a 1 in 3, not a 1 in 2, since you’re effectively picking from 3 answers instead of 4. See also: a family has 2 children, one if which is a boy, what is the chance the other is also a boy?

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    #59622
    Slev82 WANTED $23
    Outlaw

    Slev82 wrote:

    33.333333 and so on, the question wasnt about the alternatives, it was how high chances you got to get it right

    33.3% i meant ofc

    #59624
    argyl53 WANTED $419
    Outlaw

    I was taking the piss btw with the post about slot RTP. For the love of God, sincerely, let’s not get in to any of that again.

    #59572
    Mickeyvondickey WANTED $181
    Outlaw

    My head says 50% but I’m gonna try 60%. ?

    #59574
    Spdraper4336 WANTED $1
    Outlaw

    50%

    #59575
    Alphadog WANTED $11
    Outlaw

    B for me.

    #59582
    Calumjay18 WANTED $13
    Outlaw

    (C) 60%

    #59605
    Quazzi WANTED $149
    Outlaw

    I thinks its meant to be an ambigious question resulting it debate. You could argue each of the answers and not technically be wrong.

    #59638
    ligarr WANTED $82
    Outlaw

    4%

    #59652
    Mr B WANTED $395
    Blocked

    argyl53 wrote:

    If there are four possible answers and one of them is fixed as the correct answer, it’s as straightforward as picking one of the four answers at random carries a 25% chance that you picked the right one. However I suspect you’re trying to make some point we’ve covered to death already regarding random and RTP and will therefore misinterpret probability theory in some way which relies on the correct answer itself being random, with an uneven probability distribution.

    Happy to explain the mathematics of probability in relation to slots for you for the 32nd time if you like, Mr B ? not sure what the chances are you’d get it this time though!

    Interesting response Argyl, however, the question and answer posed is the only thing on my mind in this thread. I have no interest in discussing slots on this thread however I did make a remark on the apology to bio thread.

    I do however see a correct answer on here so far.

    #59653
    Mr B WANTED $395
    Blocked

    Quazzi wrote:

    I thinks its meant to be an ambigious question resulting it debate. You could argue each of the answers and not technically be wrong.

    Actually the circumstances of the question are set and working. The options are there and a correct answer can be given. It’s not as complicated as some may think.

    #59657
    argyl53 WANTED $419
    Outlaw

    Mr B wrote:

    argyl53 wrote:

    If there are four possible answers and one of them is fixed as the correct answer, it’s as straightforward as picking one of the four answers at random carries a 25% chance that you picked the right one. However I suspect you’re trying to make some point we’ve covered to death already regarding random and RTP and will therefore misinterpret probability theory in some way which relies on the correct answer itself being random, with an uneven probability distribution.

    Happy to explain the mathematics of probability in relation to slots for you for the 32nd time if you like, Mr B ? not sure what the chances are you’d get it this time though!

    Interesting response Argyl, however, the question and answer posed is the only thing on my mind in this thread. I have no interest in discussing slots on this thread however I did make a remark on the apology to bio thread.

    I do however see a correct answer on here so far.

    Fair enough, well if I treat your question in isolation of any context, it’s really a 1 in 3 chance as per my previous answer however the fact that it’s posed as a multiple choice question in which 1 in 3 is not one of the options makes it a basic example of a paradox. If for example you took the correct answer as 1 in 4, you would actually have 1 in 2 chance of picking that answer at random from the list, which renders your answer at odds with the answer. Likewise your chance of picking the otherwise “correct” answer of 50% is only 25%, so it’s impossible for you to actually answer correctly whatever you do.

    #59663
    Mr B WANTED $395
    Blocked

    Rest assured, there is no paradox.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 45 total)