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- Town Status : Outlaw
- Wanted Reward: $486
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Just a update for you all….I’ve done over 700 spins without a ding to the end or a top on the gamble ladder…I’m not on huge stakes or anything but still I’m gobsmacked it’s taken so long for even one measly curtain that will probably pay me 5x lol….don’t worry guys I’m in control and don’t spend more than I can afford….some maybe good news I do have a max hive on wild swarm so when I have a bigger bank roll then I shall attack that wish me luck and good luck to all of you in the future
x700 spins without a single scroll? ? don’t think i have ever gone even close to 100 without 1
Also this..
This is a fun question whose paradoxical, self-referential nature quickly reveals itself – A) seems to be fine until one realizes the D) option is also 25%.
A quick search reveals hundreds of discussion contributions of this problem, for example here and here and from a year ago. People often appear very confident that their answer is the only possible solution.
I am no logician and so unqualified to place this within the grand structures of mathematical paradoxes. I have not waded through all the discussions and so there may be something I have missed, but in among all the arguments there seem to be four conclusions that could be considered as ‘correct’. These are my personal comments:
1) There can be no solution, since the ambiguity of ‘correct’ makes the question ill-posed.
It’s true the question is ambiguous, but this still seems a bit of a cop-out.
2) There is no solution.
This seems to take this interpretation of the question.
Which answer (or set of answers) of “p%”, is such that the statement ‘the probability of picking such an answer is p%’ is true?
Then this appears to be a well-posed question, but there is no solution.
3) 0%.
Consider a different interpretation of the question.
Is there a p%, such that the statement ‘the probability of picking an answer “p%” is p%’ is true?
Then this appears a well-posed question and has the solution p = 0, even though this is not one of the answers. Of course if answer C) were changed to “0%” (as it is in this 2007 version of the question ), then this would also have no solution.
4) We can produce any answer we want by changing the probability distribution for the choice.
Why should ‘random’ mean an equally likely chance of picking the 4 answers? If we, say, assume the probabilities of choosing (A) (B) (C) (D) to be (10%, 20%, 60%, 10%) then the answer to either formulation (2) and (3) is now “60%”. But if we make the distribution (12.5%, 15%, 60%, 12.5%) then we seem to back to square one again, since there is now both a 25% chance of picking “25%”, and a 60% chance of picking “60%”.
I like conclusion 3) best, ie 0%.
Maybe the main lesson is: ambiguity and paradox are often the basis for a good joke.
Also the end. Credit google
You need a bazinga t-shirt sir ?
I will continue playing with my rubber duck ??
In the immortal words of Homer Simpson “Kids, you tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is never try.”
No worries all! Was a good laugh and we had a few come close.
Glad it livened up your weekends a bit!Haha yeah. Was great of you to try and share your luck but guess we all suck 😛